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2028 US Presidential Election Prediction Market
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2028 US Presidential Election Prediction Market

Bitcoin $250,000 Milestone Forecast
热门推荐

Bitcoin $250,000 Milestone Forecast

OpenAI GPT-5 Frontier Release Market
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OpenAI GPT-5 Frontier Release Market

预测观点标的

全量实时热门预测标的,支持 1 秒快捷提交观点与交易

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政治大选
倒计时 (公布: 11/07 16:00)

唐纳德·特朗普会赢得 2028 年美国总统大选吗?

看好概率58%
预测资金: $154,200,000.5流动性: $45,000,000
前沿科技
倒计时 (公布: 01/01 07:59)

OpenAI 会在 2028 年 12 月前发布 GPT-5 吗?

看好概率72%
预测资金: $35,400,100流动性: $9,800,000
加密货币
倒计时 (公布: 01/01 07:59)

比特币会在 2028 年突破 250,000 美元吗?

看好概率42%
预测资金: $8,420,000流动性: $2,100,000
科学探索
倒计时 (公布: 01/01 07:59)

NASA 会在 2028 年公布并确认地外生命的存在吗?

看好概率8%
预测资金: $6,500,000流动性: $1,200,000
前沿科技
倒计时 (公布: 01/01 07:59)

苹果会在 2028 年底前发布 AI 智能眼镜产品吗?

看好概率35%
预测资金: $2,100,000流动性: $750,000
看好概率65%
预测资金: $894,476流动性: $350,000
看好概率65%
预测资金: $640,933流动性: $210,000
看好概率35%
预测资金: $522,425流动性: $180,000
看好概率35%
预测资金: $387,765流动性: $120,000

最新已公布判定结果

查看全部公布结果
✅ YES 胜出 (判定成功)13:30 结算

[10M 闪电] 比特币突破 $64,224 目标位

OKX 现货指数: $64,285.00+92.3% Payout
❌ NO 胜出 (未突破)13:00 结算

[1H 快选] 比特币收盘高于 $64,350

Coinbase 收盘: $64,210.00+117.4% Payout
✅ YES 胜出 (判定成功)12:50 结算

[1H 极速] 以太坊 (ETH) 涨幅突破 1.5%

Binance Spot: 1.62% 触发+72.4% Payout

AI 强力推荐

AI 置信度 > 70%

突发新闻与情绪影响

新闻对活跃赔率的影响
08:06 PM

OpenAI internal memo reveals GPT-5 training is ahead of schedule

An internal leak suggests OpenAI's next frontier model, codenamed Orion/GPT-5, has completed its base training phase and is entering red-teaming. Safety protocols are being finalized, suggesting a launch in late 2028.

06:06 PM

New polls show sudden shift in swing states for 2028 election

Fresh polling data released this morning shows a 3-point swing in key battleground states, shifting the implied win probability of the presidential candidates.

12:06 PM

SEC schedules emergency meeting to discuss crypto index products

The Securities and Exchange Commission has announced a closed-door meeting next Tuesday, raising speculation about the approval of major crypto index derivatives.