OpenAI 会在 2028 年 12 月前发布 GPT-5 吗？
This market resolves to YES if OpenAI officially announces and launches GPT-5 or a corresponding new generation flagship model by Dec 31, 2028. Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
SOL/USDT 现货价格趋势
单位: $公布结果历史列表
本标的各轮次预测交割公布结果与预言机存证流水提交预测头寸
BAZX 计价与手续费AI 智能分析
每 10 分钟自动生成与更新模型基本训练已顺利结束，正处于安全对齐和红队测试阶段；主要竞争对手（Google Gemini, Anthropic Claude）的紧逼促使其必须发布新旗舰以稳固龙头地位。
算力短缺和能源限制可能拖慢最终微调进度；更严格的安全监管法规可能强迫发布推迟；核心研发人员的流失可能带来工程延误。
如何定义'GPT-5'可能存在争议。如果 OpenAI 发布了一个超强多模态模型但命名为 'GPT-o3' 或 'GPT-Next'，可能会引发关于合约结算规则的司法纠纷。
讨论区 (2)
If it's called 'GPT-o5', does it count? Read the market rules carefully guys.
They have to release it. The market is demanding a breakthrough. 72% makes sense.
提交预测头寸
BAZX 计价与手续费最新预测观点明细
1 笔观点巨鲸大单流水
买入 NO
买入 YES
突发新闻与情绪影响
OpenAI internal memo reveals GPT-5 training is ahead of schedule
An internal leak suggests OpenAI's next frontier model, codenamed Orion/GPT-5, has completed its base training phase and is entering red-teaming. Safety protocols are being finalized, suggesting a launch in late 2028.